PredictIt

Website

predictit.org

Pricing URL

-

$ Details

-

Platforms

-

Release Date

-

Categories

#Finance #Trading #Cryptocurrencies #Data Dashboard

Lucris

Website

lucris.io

Pricing URL

Official Lucris Pricing

$ Details

paid Free Trial $99 / Monthly (Up to 1,000 monthly orders; all platform features)

Platforms

Browser Mobile

Release Date

2025 September

Categories

#Business & Commerce #Office & Productivity #eCommerce Tools #Finance #eCommerce #AI #Shopify Apps

Startup details

Country

United States

State

Wyoming

Founder(s)

Valentin Kuznetcov, Kirill Toropov

Employees

1 - 9

PredictIt features and specs

• Real-money political forecasting
  PredictIt allows users to trade on real-world political and economic events using actual money, providing tangible financial incentives that can lead to more accurate crowd-sourced predictions than traditional polling.
• Academic legitimacy
  Operated in partnership with Victoria University of Wellington, PredictIt has a no-action letter from the CFTC for academic research purposes, giving it a degree of regulatory recognition and legitimacy compared to unregulated prediction markets.
• Diverse market offerings
  The platform covers a wide range of topics beyond just elections, including legislative outcomes, court decisions, economic indicators, and other newsworthy events, giving traders many opportunities to speculate.
• Transparent pricing reflecting probabilities
  Contract prices on PredictIt (ranging from $0.01 to $1.00) directly reflect the market's perceived probability of an event occurring, making it easy to interpret sentiment and track how odds shift over time.
• Low barrier to entry
  Users can start trading with small amounts of money, as low as a few dollars per contract, making it accessible to casual traders and enthusiasts who want to engage with political forecasting without significant capital investment.

Possible disadvantages of PredictIt

• Trading and withdrawal fees
  PredictIt charges a 10% fee on profits from winning trades and a 5% fee on withdrawals, which can significantly cut into overall returns compared to other trading or investment platforms.
• Position limits restrict scalability
  The platform caps the number of shares a single user can hold in any given market (historically around 850 shares per contract), preventing large-scale trading or significant capital deployment even when a trader has high confidence in an outcome.
• Regulatory uncertainty and legal challenges
  PredictIt has faced ongoing regulatory scrutiny, including a CFTC attempt to revoke its no-action letter, creating uncertainty about the platform's long-term legal status and potential for sudden shutdowns or operational disruptions.
• Liquidity issues in niche markets
  While major political markets like presidential elections have good liquidity, many smaller or niche contracts suffer from low trading volume, resulting in wide bid-ask spreads and difficulty executing trades at fair prices.
• Limited to U.S. users primarily
  The platform's terms of service and functionality are primarily designed for U.S.-based users, and non-U.S. residents may face restrictions or complications when trying to deposit, withdraw, or verify their accounts.

Lucris features and specs

• Profit Analytics
  Track profit, contribution margin, CAC payback, AOV, and customer cohorts
• AI Decision Support
  Understand what changed, why it matters, and what to do next
• Unified DTC Data
  Connect Shopify, advertising, and cost data in one place

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