
Dropping odds alerts for value betting: a Telegram message the moment a sharp bookmaker cuts a pre-match price, with the fair odds to check your own book. 13 sports, free 7-day trial, free calculators.
A startup from Spain.
This page is designed to help you find out whether BetTheDrop is good and if it is the right choice for you.
BetTheDrop is a dropping odds alert service for value betting. It watches Pinnacle, the sharp reference bookmaker, and sends a Telegram message within seconds of any pre-match price drop. One bet per message: the match, the market, the price before and after the drop, the margin-free fair price and the market's maximum stake. One tap tells you whether the price at your own bookmaker is still above the fair price, and by how much.
The idea is simple. When the bookmaker that professionals bet into cuts a price, the slower ones take a few minutes to follow. If yours still pays the old price, that is where the value is.
What makes it different: every alert is measured against the fair closing price and the results are published, winners and losers together, as expected value rather than winnings. Nothing is hidden and nothing is rounded up.
It covers 13 sports pre-match, plus player props for the NBA, NHL, NFL and MLB. There are filters by sport, market, drop size, odds range and time before kick-off, a bet tracker that settles automatically, and eleven free calculators (fair odds, expected value, Kelly, vig, closing line value and more) that anyone can use without an account.
There is a free public Telegram channel with the biggest drops of the day, no account and no card needed. Pro is 89.95 EUR a month including VAT, with a 7-day free trial.
Free to read: the dropping odds field guide (slides and PDF) and a published study that measures every flagged drop against the closing line, losers included.
BetTheDrop is a data and analytics service. It is not a bookmaker, it takes no bets and it handles no money. 18+, and gamble responsibly.
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Dropping odds alerts on Telegram
Pre-match price drops from a sharp bookmaker within seconds: match, market, price before and after, fair price and maximum stake.
Margin-free fair price
Every alert shows the fair odds with the bookmaker margin removed, to compare with your own bookmaker.
Alert filters
Sport, market, drop size, odds range and time before kick-off.
One-tap check
Compare your bookmaker's price with the fair price and log the bet.
Automatic bet tracker
Bets settle on their own and show expected value.
Player props alerts
NBA, NHL, NFL and MLB.
Eleven free calculators
No-vig, expected value, Kelly, vig, closing line value and more, no account needed.
Every alert is measured against the margin-free closing price and the results are public, winners and losers together, as expected value rather than winnings. Each alert also carries the fair price and the sharp bookmaker's maximum stake, so you can see whether your own bookmaker still pays value before you bet.
Python and FastAPI, PostgreSQL, a Telegram bot for the alerts, and plain HTML and JavaScript on the front end.
It shows you the uncomfortable part too: how often alerts beat the closing price and which drops are weak. You can filter by sport, market, drop size, odds range and time before kick-off, try Pro free for 7 days, and use the calculators and a public Telegram channel at no cost.
Value bettors who use a sharp bookmaker's price as the benchmark and want to know quickly whether their own bookmaker still pays more than the fair price. It is a data tool, not a tipster service: it does not sell tips.
I'm Rubén Ruiz, the founder of BetTheDrop. I have been betting on sports for more than six years and, in that time, I tried countless methods without being happy with the results, until I built my own. BetTheDrop is what came out of it: it watches a sharp bookmaker and sends you pre-match price drops on Telegram, with a median time from detection to message of under a second (measured and published every day on the site). And I hold it to one standard: every alert is measured against the closing price and the results are public, winners and losers together.
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